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Red107
570410.6
438141.3
150652.5
Blue145
719742.8
335730.5
365659.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109160050200250107145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+44
Endgame+32
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +37
12Coral scored#19
43Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
6Processor points6
12Net points24
18Algae points30
61Total teleop98
Reef
8L4#12
5L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points6
107Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#13
52.50.4
55.855.4
Auto15.7
Teleop28.2
End8.7
blue by 6.5
59.00.6
62.862.1
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Second
4381
#14
41.30.4
34.834.4
Auto8.6
Teleop25.3
End7.4
blue by 1.4
7197
#19
42.80.6
43.442.8
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End1.3
Third
5704
#24
10.60.4
13.413.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.8
blue by 19.9
3357
#18
30.50.6
34.233.6
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned