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Red127
438410.4
721154.0
546084.9
Blue89
607830.3
842427.3
520513.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1896505010015025030012789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+74Teleop
+74Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
27Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +60
13Coral scored#5
48Coral points18
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
18Processor points0
20Net points8
38Algae points8
86Total teleop26
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points36
127Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.91.6
75.573.9
Auto22.0
Teleop54.0
End9.0
red by 54.6
6078
#20
30.31.5
29.528.1
Auto2.2
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Second
7211
#17
54.01.6
64.362.8
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End10.3
red by 26.7
8424
#31
27.31.5
31.129.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End2.5
Third
4384
#29
10.41.6
11.19.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End1.0
blue by 3.5
5205
#33
13.91.5
14.813.3
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned