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Red70
159623.2
107655.3
20143.9
Blue70
931250.4
99918.5
564127.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149900502002507070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave3
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +16
6Coral scored#9
21Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
25Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points12
70Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#12
55.3
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End2.2
red by 4.9
50.4
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
Second
201
#11
43.9
Auto11.7
Teleop27.0
End5.3
red by 16.4
5641
#28
27.5
Auto5.9
Teleop21.2
End0.3
Third
1596
#30
23.2
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End0.3
red by 14.7
9991
#32
8.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed