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Qual 172025 Rainbow Rumble
Red165
3380.0
22657.4
365659.0
Blue138
2772.8
30262.5
317546.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221214140160180200240260165138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points33
37Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +20
23Coral scored#17
82Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
106Total teleop86
Reef
13L4#7
8L3#7
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points0
165Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
80.02.7
73.2→70.5
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
red by 7.2
27
#3
72.84.2
76.0→71.8
Auto16.9
Teleop46.2
End9.7
Second
3656
#6
59.02.7
62.1→59.5
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
blue by 3.5
302
#8
62.54.2
65.2→61.0
Auto16.9
Teleop42.3
End3.3
Third
226
#15
57.42.7
63.9→61.2
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
red by 10.8
3175
#21
46.64.2
60.3→56.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned