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Red102
20143.9
438410.4
103833.0
Blue102
365546.6
842427.3
721154.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79176050100150200250300102102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
Endgame+2
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +16
16Coral scored#12
57Coral points43
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
6Processor points0
12Net points16
18Algae points16
75Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
2Foul points0
102Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#11
43.9
Auto11.7
Teleop27.0
End5.3
blue by 10.1
7211
#17
54.0
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End10.3
Second
33.0
Auto4.5
Teleop27.2
End1.2
blue by 13.6
3655
#16
46.6
Auto9.0
Teleop26.0
End11.5
Third
4384
#29
10.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End1.0
blue by 16.9
8424
#31
27.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned