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Red94
872827.5
931250.4
364126.1
Blue212
3380.0
546084.9
5146.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8821605015020025030094212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+78
Endgame+112
Fouls+118
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
6Coral scored#10
30Coral points48
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +57
11Coral scored#25
38Coral points91
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
56Total teleop113
Reef
5L4#10
6L3#7
4L2#11
2L1 · trough#7
21Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +34
2Cage & park36
2Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +118
6Foul points12
94Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.8
43.242.4
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
blue by 34.5
84.90.7
73.974.6
Auto22.0
Teleop54.0
End9.0
Second
8728
#27
27.50.8
33.332.6
Auto6.3
Teleop20.2
End1.0
blue by 52.5
33
#2
80.00.7
70.571.2
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
Third
3641
#23
26.10.8
22.822.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End4.0
blue by 19.9
51
#22
46.00.7
45.346.0
Auto7.8
Teleop28.4
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned