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Red166
107655.3
570410.6
2772.8
Blue112
159623.2
317546.6
438141.3
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177139050100150200250166112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+52Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
28Coral scored#18
100Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
120Total teleop82
Reef
15L4#7
10L3#8
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
166Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
72.80.2
71.872.0
Auto16.9
Teleop46.2
End9.7
red by 26.2
3175
#21
46.61.8
56.054.2
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
Second
1076
#12
55.30.2
54.354.5
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End2.2
red by 14.0
4381
#14
41.31.8
34.432.6
Auto8.6
Teleop25.3
End7.4
Third
5704
#24
10.60.2
13.013.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.8
blue by 12.6
1596
#30
23.21.8
23.121.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned