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Red73
99918.5
335730.5
353856.6
Blue112
564127.5
432729.3
607830.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1287805010015020025073112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+31
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
44Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
73Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#25
56.63.3
67.364.0
Auto14.1
Teleop39.3
End3.2
red by 26.3
6078
#20
30.31.3
28.129.3
Auto2.2
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Second
3357
#18
30.53.3
33.630.3
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End1.8
red by 1.2
4327
#26
29.31.3
26.227.5
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
Third
9991
#32
8.55.5
9.64.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.5
blue by 19.0
5641
#28
27.51.3
26.928.1
Auto5.9
Teleop21.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned