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Qual 232025 Rainbow Rumble
Red119
103833.0
477657.5
842427.3
Blue172
20143.9
3380.0
150652.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122183050100150200250119172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+33
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +30
6Leave9
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points37
16Total auto46
TeleoperatedBlue +3
18Coral scored#20
65Coral points72
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
97Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#11
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
119Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#7
57.50.2
61.9→61.7
Auto11.6
Teleop35.4
End10.4
blue by 22.5
33
#2
80.00.6
71.2→71.8
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
Second
1038
#9
33.00.2
29.9→29.7
Auto4.5
Teleop27.2
End1.2
blue by 19.6
1506
#13
52.50.6
55.2→55.8
Auto15.7
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Third
8424
#31
27.30.2
29.6→29.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End2.5
blue by 16.6
201
#11
43.90.6
36.6→37.2
Auto11.7
Teleop27.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned