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Red111
365659.0
317546.6
365546.6
Blue137
719742.8
721154.0
5146.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19216750100150250111137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
11Coral scored#17
40Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
62Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
111Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.03.9
59.555.6
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
red by 5.0
7211
#17
54.01.2
62.861.5
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End10.3
Second
3175
#21
46.63.9
54.250.3
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
red by 0.6
51
#22
46.01.2
46.044.8
Auto7.8
Teleop28.4
End9.7
Third
3655
#16
46.63.9
49.946.1
Auto9.0
Teleop26.0
End11.5
red by 3.8
7197
#19
42.81.2
40.739.5
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned