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Red152
30262.5
99918.5
546084.9
Blue84
520513.9
432729.3
335730.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1746405010015020025015284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+54Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +36
20Coral scored#13
71Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
12Processor points12
16Net points4
28Algae points16
99Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#5
11L3#5
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#19
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
152Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.90.8
74.675.4
Auto22.0
Teleop54.0
End9.0
red by 54.4
3357
#18
30.50.9
30.331.1
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End1.8
Second
302
#8
62.50.8
61.061.8
Auto16.9
Teleop42.3
End3.3
red by 33.2
4327
#26
29.30.9
27.528.3
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
Third
9991
#32
8.51.4
4.15.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.5
blue by 5.4
5205
#33
13.90.9
13.214.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed