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Red113
438141.3
442247.0
564127.5
Blue120
364126.1
438410.4
107655.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910260708090120130113120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +30
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
61Total teleop91
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#26
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
113Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.1
36.237.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End10.2
blue by 8.3
1076
#12
55.32.3
54.556.7
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End2.2
Second
4381
#14
41.31.1
32.633.7
Auto8.6
Teleop25.3
End7.4
red by 15.2
3641
#23
26.12.3
22.024.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End4.0
Third
5641
#28
27.51.1
28.129.2
Auto5.9
Teleop21.2
End0.3
red by 17.1
4384
#29
10.42.3
9.511.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed