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Red116
353856.6
607830.3
159623.2
Blue105
22657.4
570410.6
872827.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14313050100200116105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+23Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points7
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points39
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
18Processor points24
20Net points12
38Algae points36
92Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
116Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#25
56.61.2
64.062.8
Auto14.1
Teleop39.3
End3.2
blue by 0.8
226
#15
57.41.3
61.259.9
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
Second
6078
#20
30.31.2
29.328.1
Auto2.2
Teleop23.3
End4.8
red by 2.8
8728
#27
27.51.3
32.631.2
Auto6.3
Teleop20.2
End1.0
Third
1596
#30
23.21.2
21.320.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End0.3
red by 12.6
5704
#24
10.61.3
13.111.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned