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Red109
2772.8
651735.4
335730.5
Blue141
365659.0
103833.0
931250.4
62%Model gave it38%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156137050100200250109141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+26
Endgame+38
Fouls+32
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +26
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
69Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
6Foul points0
109Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
72.82.4
72.069.5
Auto16.9
Teleop46.2
End9.7
red by 13.8
59.00.9
55.656.5
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Second
6517
#10
35.42.4
36.233.7
Auto7.2
Teleop20.8
End7.3
blue by 15.0
50.40.9
42.443.3
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
Third
3357
#18
30.52.4
31.128.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End1.8
blue by 2.5
33.00.9
29.730.6
Auto4.5
Teleop27.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned