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Red91
353856.6
564127.5
438410.4
Blue181
3380.0
477657.5
2772.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1392595010020030035091181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+72
Endgame+94
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave6
4Coral scored#8
18Coral points38
27Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +55
10Coral scored#21
36Coral points77
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
56Total teleop111
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#9
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
4Foul points0
91Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#25
56.62.9
78.275.4
Auto14.1
Teleop39.3
End3.2
blue by 23.4
33
#2
80.03.0
76.673.6
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
Second
5641
#28
27.52.9
32.529.6
Auto5.9
Teleop21.2
End0.3
blue by 45.3
27
#3
72.83.0
80.877.8
Auto16.9
Teleop46.2
End9.7
Third
4384
#29
10.42.9
19.116.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End1.0
blue by 47.1
57.53.0
68.865.8
Auto11.6
Teleop35.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned