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Red116
931250.4
30262.5
570410.6
Blue84
364126.1
721154.0
150652.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1481855010020025030011684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+52Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +42
16Coral scored#7
56Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
80Total teleop38
Reef
11L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
116Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#8
62.51.0
70.769.7
Auto16.9
Teleop42.3
End3.3
red by 8.5
7211
#17
54.05.3
70.064.7
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End10.3
Second
50.41.0
45.844.9
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
blue by 2.1
1506
#13
52.55.3
61.856.5
Auto15.7
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Third
5704
#24
10.61.0
14.313.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.8
blue by 15.5
3641
#23
26.15.3
32.126.8
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned