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Red134
365659.0
520513.9
442247.0
Blue132
546084.9
872827.5
159623.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155181050100200250300350134132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
11Coral points24
20Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +3
21Coral scored#18
74Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
94Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#9
7L3#7
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points0
134Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.00.4
65.865.3
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
blue by 25.9
84.91.6
77.776.2
Auto22.0
Teleop54.0
End9.0
Second
47.00.4
40.740.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End10.2
red by 19.5
8728
#27
27.51.6
41.439.9
Auto6.3
Teleop20.2
End1.0
Third
5205
#33
13.90.4
20.520.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 9.4
1596
#30
23.21.6
27.225.7
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned