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Red54
317546.6
20143.9
99918.5
Blue70
651735.4
607830.3
365546.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15415260801001201401601805470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
5Coral scored#5
17Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
25Total teleop26
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points12
54Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#21
46.65.3
70.765.4
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
Level
3655
#16
46.65.5
57.251.7
Auto9.0
Teleop26.0
End11.5
Second
201
#11
43.95.3
43.738.4
Auto11.7
Teleop27.0
End5.3
red by 8.5
6517
#10
35.45.5
47.942.5
Auto7.2
Teleop20.8
End7.3
Third
9991
#32
8.58.8
19.110.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.5
blue by 21.7
6078
#20
30.35.5
34.929.5
Auto2.2
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned