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Red84
5146.0
22657.4
335730.5
Blue82
107655.3
564127.5
842427.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1941310501001502503008482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+12
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
42Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
84Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#15
57.45.5
71.666.1
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
red by 2.1
1076
#12
55.32.7
57.154.3
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End2.2
Second
51
#22
46.05.5
55.550.0
Auto7.8
Teleop28.4
End9.7
red by 18.5
5641
#28
27.52.7
29.626.9
Auto5.9
Teleop21.2
End0.3
Third
3357
#18
30.55.5
39.634.1
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End1.8
red by 3.2
8424
#31
27.32.7
36.433.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
71%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed