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Red98
353856.6
364126.1
719742.8
Blue121
442247.0
30262.5
872827.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16216210012014015016098121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +4
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points46
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
76Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
98Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#25
56.63.4
75.472.0
Auto14.1
Teleop39.3
End3.2
blue by 5.9
302
#8
62.51.9
69.767.8
Auto16.9
Teleop42.3
End3.3
Second
7197
#19
42.83.4
46.843.4
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End1.3
blue by 4.3
47.01.9
40.238.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End10.2
Third
3641
#23
26.13.4
26.823.4
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End4.0
blue by 1.4
8728
#27
27.51.9
39.938.0
Auto6.3
Teleop20.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed