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Red125
150652.5
872827.5
719742.8
Blue84
22657.4
438410.4
99918.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1468205010020025012584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
72Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
125Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#13
52.50.6
55.855.2
Auto15.7
Teleop28.2
End8.7
blue by 4.9
226
#15
57.40.1
59.959.7
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
Second
7197
#19
42.80.6
39.538.8
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End1.3
red by 32.4
4384
#29
10.40.1
11.711.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End1.0
Third
8728
#27
27.50.6
31.230.6
Auto6.3
Teleop20.2
End1.0
red by 19.0
9991
#32
8.50.2
5.55.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned