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Red176
438141.3
546084.9
365546.6
Blue156
442247.0
2772.8
159623.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189148050100250300176156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+8Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +22
20Coral scored#21
73Coral points77
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
12Processor points6
32Net points12
44Algae points18
117Total teleop95
Reef
5L4#9
9L3#9
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
176Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.91.4
75.476.8
Auto22.0
Teleop54.0
End9.0
red by 12.1
27
#3
72.81.9
69.571.5
Auto16.9
Teleop46.2
End9.7
Second
3655
#16
46.61.4
46.147.5
Auto9.0
Teleop26.0
End11.5
blue by 0.5
47.01.9
37.239.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End10.2
Third
4381
#14
41.31.4
33.735.1
Auto8.6
Teleop25.3
End7.4
red by 18.1
1596
#30
23.21.9
20.022.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned