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Red173
842427.3
931250.4
3380.0
Blue81
570410.6
353856.6
477657.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15214910012014016018017381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+82Teleop
+92Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points34
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +75
24Coral scored#6
85Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
113Total teleop38
Reef
9L4#5
10L3#2
8L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
0Foul points0
173Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
80.01.9
71.873.7
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
red by 22.5
57.53.7
61.758.0
Auto11.6
Teleop35.4
End10.4
Second
50.41.9
43.345.2
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
blue by 6.2
3538
#25
56.63.7
62.859.1
Auto14.1
Teleop39.3
End3.2
Third
8424
#31
27.31.9
29.431.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End2.5
red by 16.6
5704
#24
10.63.7
11.88.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed