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Red112
607830.3
5146.0
477657.5
Blue174
150652.5
159623.2
30262.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157157120140150160170112174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+72
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +38
6Leave0
1Coral scored#10
7Coral points51
13Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +34
14Coral scored#19
49Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
6Processor points12
20Net points28
26Algae points40
75Total teleop109
Reef
6L4#13
3L3#6
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
112Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.52.4
56.554.1
Auto11.6
Teleop35.4
End10.4
blue by 5.0
302
#8
62.51.7
60.061.7
Auto16.9
Teleop42.3
End3.3
Second
51
#22
46.02.4
47.344.9
Auto7.8
Teleop28.4
End9.7
blue by 6.6
1506
#13
52.51.7
51.453.1
Auto15.7
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Third
6078
#20
30.32.4
31.328.9
Auto2.2
Teleop23.3
End4.8
red by 7.0
1596
#30
23.21.7
22.323.9
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned