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Red80
520513.9
651735.4
364126.1
Blue188
3380.0
335730.5
438141.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55162010015020025080188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+90
Endgame+108
Fouls+108
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave6
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points31
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +72
11Coral scored#21
41Coral points77
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#8
6Processor points18
8Net points32
14Algae points50
55Total teleop127
Reef
5L4#11
3L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +108
0Foul points0
80Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6517
#10
35.40.6
33.734.3
Auto7.2
Teleop20.8
End7.3
blue by 44.7
33
#2
80.03.2
73.977.1
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
Second
3641
#23
26.10.6
26.527.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End4.0
blue by 15.2
4381
#14
41.33.2
37.040.2
Auto8.6
Teleop25.3
End7.4
Third
5205
#33
13.90.6
11.211.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 16.6
3357
#18
30.53.2
29.232.4
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned