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Red161
442247.0
22657.4
103833.0
Blue81
99918.5
365659.0
570410.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1516805010020025016181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+58Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +51
24Coral scored#9
85Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
105Total teleop54
Reef
11L4#6
6L3#2
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#17
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
161Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#15
57.41.8
56.758.5
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
blue by 1.6
59.00.3
56.256.5
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Second
47.01.8
41.042.8
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End10.2
red by 36.4
5704
#24
10.60.3
8.28.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Third
33.01.8
31.233.0
Auto4.5
Teleop27.2
End1.2
red by 24.4
9991
#32
8.50.5
5.86.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed