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Red90
432729.3
842427.3
30262.5
Blue131
438410.4
2772.8
931250.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301495010020025090131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+29
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave3
3Coral scored#8
13Coral points41
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +1
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points47
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
0Processor points12
12Net points12
12Algae points24
70Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#7
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
90Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#8
62.52.1
62.160.0
Auto16.9
Teleop42.3
End3.3
blue by 10.3
27
#3
72.80.0
72.172.2
Auto16.9
Teleop46.2
End9.7
Second
4327
#26
29.32.1
28.326.3
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
blue by 21.1
50.40.0
46.546.5
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
Third
8424
#31
27.32.1
30.628.5
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End2.5
red by 16.9
4384
#29
10.40.0
11.711.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned