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Red165
651735.4
546084.9
564127.5
Blue152
150652.5
365546.6
353856.6
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431740100200300400500165152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+21Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +28
24Coral scored#16
85Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
113Total teleop85
Reef
9L4#9
9L3#5
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
6Foul points6
165Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.91.4
78.780.0
Auto22.0
Teleop54.0
End9.0
red by 28.3
3538
#25
56.60.7
58.858.1
Auto14.1
Teleop39.3
End3.2
Second
6517
#10
35.41.4
32.333.7
Auto7.2
Teleop20.8
End7.3
blue by 17.2
1506
#13
52.50.7
52.151.4
Auto15.7
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Third
5641
#28
27.51.4
27.228.6
Auto5.9
Teleop21.2
End0.3
blue by 19.1
3655
#16
46.60.7
45.945.2
Auto9.0
Teleop26.0
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned