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Red91
872827.5
335730.5
107655.3
Blue115
477657.5
317546.6
721154.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11419405015025030035091115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
11Coral scored#16
38Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
52Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
91Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#12
55.31.4
52.651.2
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End2.2
blue by 2.2
57.53.5
59.956.5
Auto11.6
Teleop35.4
End10.4
Second
3357
#18
30.51.4
30.629.2
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End1.8
blue by 23.5
7211
#17
54.03.5
58.855.3
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End10.3
Third
8728
#27
27.51.4
28.226.9
Auto6.3
Teleop20.2
End1.0
blue by 19.1
3175
#21
46.63.5
48.545.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned