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Red90
159623.2
719742.8
520513.9
Blue163
5146.0
20143.9
364126.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8513205010015020025030090163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+61
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +51
16Coral scored#21
56Coral points77
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#7
6Processor points12
4Net points28
10Algae points40
66Total teleop117
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#6
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
90Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#19
42.80.0
39.039.0
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End1.3
blue by 3.2
51
#22
46.02.8
44.547.3
Auto7.8
Teleop28.4
End9.7
Second
1596
#30
23.20.0
22.322.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End0.3
blue by 20.6
201
#11
43.92.8
37.039.8
Auto11.7
Teleop27.0
End5.3
Third
5205
#33
13.90.0
11.311.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 12.2
3641
#23
26.12.8
23.726.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned