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Red128
564127.5
365546.6
3380.0
Blue130
607830.3
438141.3
931250.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174108050150200250128130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points24
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points48
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
18Processor points24
24Net points24
42Algae points48
79Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#3
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
128Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
80.01.6
75.573.9
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
red by 29.6
50.41.3
45.246.5
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
Second
3655
#16
46.61.6
47.545.9
Auto9.0
Teleop26.0
End11.5
red by 5.2
4381
#14
41.31.3
35.737.0
Auto8.6
Teleop25.3
End7.4
Third
5641
#28
27.51.6
28.827.2
Auto5.9
Teleop21.2
End0.3
blue by 2.8
6078
#20
30.31.3
30.031.3
Auto2.2
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsMissed