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Red144
651735.4
365659.0
353856.6
Blue125
107655.3
150652.5
22657.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16018750100200250144125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +6
18Coral scored#18
64Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
88Total teleop82
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#8
3L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#29
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
144Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.00.3
56.556.2
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
red by 1.6
226
#15
57.43.0
59.756.7
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
Second
3538
#25
56.60.3
59.158.8
Auto14.1
Teleop39.3
End3.2
red by 1.3
1076
#12
55.33.0
55.652.6
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End2.2
Third
6517
#10
35.40.3
32.632.3
Auto7.2
Teleop20.8
End7.3
blue by 17.2
1506
#13
52.53.0
55.252.1
Auto15.7
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsMissed