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Red96
842427.3
364126.1
317546.6
Blue63
99918.5
159623.2
432729.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1375501002002503009663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+21Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +13
9Coral scored#7
33Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
57Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
96Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#21
46.60.8
49.248.5
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
red by 17.3
4327
#26
29.30.3
28.028.3
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
Second
8424
#31
27.30.8
31.330.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End2.5
red by 4.0
1596
#30
23.20.3
22.022.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End0.3
Third
3641
#23
26.10.8
24.423.7
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End4.0
red by 17.6
9991
#32
8.50.5
5.35.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed