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Red143
99918.5
719742.8
2772.8
Blue194
546084.9
931250.4
107655.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11819350100150250143194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+55
Endgame+53
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
7Coral scored#10
35Coral points51
41Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +45
14Coral scored#30
52Coral points107
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
84Total teleop129
Reef
9L4#14
5L3#12
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#8
28Game pieces#45
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
2Foul points0
143Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
72.81.6
72.273.8
Auto16.9
Teleop46.2
End9.7
blue by 12.1
84.91.1
80.081.1
Auto22.0
Teleop54.0
End9.0
Second
7197
#19
42.81.6
39.040.5
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End1.3
blue by 12.6
1076
#12
55.31.1
51.252.3
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End2.2
Third
9991
#32
8.52.4
6.38.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.5
blue by 41.9
50.41.1
46.547.6
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned