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Red150
317546.6
353856.6
22657.4
Blue99
721154.0
564127.5
103833.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19112005010015025030015099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+47Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points14
33Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +34
21Coral scored#16
75Coral points57
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
105Total teleop71
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#7
6L2#4
7L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points4
150Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#15
57.41.2
58.557.3
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
red by 3.4
7211
#17
54.01.5
55.353.9
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End10.3
Second
3538
#25
56.61.2
58.156.9
Auto14.1
Teleop39.3
End3.2
red by 23.7
33.01.5
33.031.6
Auto4.5
Teleop27.2
End1.2
Third
3175
#21
46.61.2
45.043.8
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
red by 19.1
5641
#28
27.51.5
28.627.1
Auto5.9
Teleop21.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed