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Red118
570410.6
442247.0
432729.3
Blue111
842427.3
5146.0
651735.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75118050100150200250300118111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +7
15Coral scored#16
55Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
69Total teleop76
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points6
118Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.7
42.844.5
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End10.2
red by 1.1
51
#22
46.01.0
44.943.9
Auto7.8
Teleop28.4
End9.7
Second
4327
#26
29.31.7
25.627.3
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
blue by 6.1
6517
#10
35.41.0
34.333.2
Auto7.2
Teleop20.8
End7.3
Third
5704
#24
10.61.7
8.510.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.8
blue by 16.6
8424
#31
27.31.0
28.527.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned