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Red191
477657.5
107655.3
30262.5
Blue135
365546.6
931250.4
520513.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19099050150250300191135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points24
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +32
22Coral scored#19
79Coral points67
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
123Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#8
9L3#8
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
191Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#8
62.51.5
61.763.3
Auto16.9
Teleop42.3
End3.3
red by 12.1
50.42.1
47.649.7
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
Second
57.51.5
54.155.6
Auto11.6
Teleop35.4
End10.4
red by 10.9
3655
#16
46.62.1
44.546.6
Auto9.0
Teleop26.0
End11.5
Third
1076
#12
55.31.5
52.353.8
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End2.2
red by 41.4
5205
#33
13.92.1
11.813.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned