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Red138
317546.6
607830.3
150652.5
Blue157
364126.1
2772.8
365659.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128173050100150200250138157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +26
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points63
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#5
12Processor points30
20Net points20
32Algae points50
87Total teleop113
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
2Foul points2
138Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#13
52.50.7
53.153.8
Auto15.7
Teleop28.2
End8.7
blue by 20.3
27
#3
72.80.2
73.873.5
Auto16.9
Teleop46.2
End9.7
Second
3175
#21
46.60.7
43.844.5
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
blue by 12.4
59.00.2
57.357.1
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Third
6078
#20
30.30.7
28.929.5
Auto2.2
Teleop23.3
End4.8
red by 4.2
3641
#23
26.10.2
27.026.8
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned