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Red146
22657.4
721154.0
438141.3
Blue199
546084.9
20143.9
442247.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161182100150200250146199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+67
Endgame+47
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave3
4Coral scored#10
20Coral points48
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +39
20Coral scored#24
73Coral points88
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
87Total teleop126
Reef
9L4#12
8L3#11
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#42
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points6
146Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#15
57.40.4
57.356.9
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
blue by 27.5
84.91.8
81.182.9
Auto22.0
Teleop54.0
End9.0
Second
7211
#17
54.00.4
53.953.5
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End10.3
red by 7.0
47.01.8
44.546.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End10.2
Third
4381
#14
41.30.4
40.239.8
Auto8.6
Teleop25.3
End7.4
blue by 2.6
201
#11
43.91.8
40.642.4
Auto11.7
Teleop27.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned