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Red69
335730.5
159623.2
438410.4
Blue190
103833.0
353856.6
3380.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6821205010015025030035069190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+107
Endgame+121
Fouls+121
AutonomousBlue +38
0Leave0
3Coral scored#10
13Coral points51
13Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +69
12Coral scored#26
42Coral points95
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
0Processor points12
12Net points16
12Algae points28
54Total teleop123
Reef
3L4#20
6L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +121
0Foul points0
69Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#18
30.50.7
32.431.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End1.8
blue by 49.5
33
#2
80.00.9
77.178.0
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
Second
1596
#30
23.20.7
23.923.2
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End0.3
blue by 33.4
3538
#25
56.60.9
56.957.9
Auto14.1
Teleop39.3
End3.2
Third
4384
#29
10.40.7
11.110.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End1.0
blue by 22.6
33.00.9
31.632.5
Auto4.5
Teleop27.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned