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Red133
931250.4
442247.0
607830.3
Blue181
22657.4
103833.0
721154.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128158050100200250300133181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+28
Endgame+18
Fouls+48
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +28
18Coral scored#21
64Coral points76
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
12Processor points24
8Net points12
20Algae points36
84Total teleop112
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#7
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points30
133Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.1
50.350.4
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
blue by 7.0
226
#15
57.40.1
57.457.6
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
Second
47.00.1
46.947.0
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End10.2
blue by 7.0
7211
#17
54.00.1
54.054.1
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End10.3
Third
6078
#20
30.30.1
30.130.3
Auto2.2
Teleop23.3
End4.8
blue by 2.7
33.00.1
33.033.1
Auto4.5
Teleop27.2
End1.2