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Red207
365659.0
719742.8
477657.5
Blue187
5146.0
651735.4
317546.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17113550100150200207187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
20Coral scored#25
72Coral points89
6Processor algae#4
7Net algae#5
36Processor points24
28Net points20
64Algae points44
136Total teleop133
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#11
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +20
12Foul points12
207Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.00.9
57.758.6
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
red by 12.4
3175
#21
46.61.1
45.546.6
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
Second
57.50.9
56.257.1
Auto11.6
Teleop35.4
End10.4
red by 11.5
51
#22
46.01.1
44.846.0
Auto7.8
Teleop28.4
End9.7
Third
7197
#19
42.80.9
41.542.4
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End1.3
red by 7.4
6517
#10
35.41.1
34.235.4
Auto7.2
Teleop20.8
End7.3