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Red223
30262.5
364126.1
2772.8
Blue203
438141.3
20143.9
107655.3
79%Model gave it21%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18414050100200250223203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points45
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +32
29Coral scored#20
104Coral points72
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#8
24Processor points12
20Net points32
44Algae points44
148Total teleop116
Reef
14L4#10
9L3#7
9L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#39
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +20
12Foul points12
223Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
72.81.1
73.574.6
Auto16.9
Teleop46.2
End9.7
red by 17.5
1076
#12
55.31.2
53.855.0
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End2.2
Second
302
#8
62.51.1
63.364.3
Auto16.9
Teleop42.3
End3.3
red by 18.6
201
#11
43.91.2
42.443.6
Auto11.7
Teleop27.0
End5.3
Third
3641
#23
26.11.1
26.827.9
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End4.0
blue by 15.2
4381
#14
41.31.2
39.841.0
Auto8.6
Teleop25.3
End7.4