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Red139
607830.3
442247.0
931250.4
Blue113
5146.0
651735.4
317546.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412880100120140160139113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+28Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points7
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
22Coral scored#18
78Coral points65
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
12Processor points18
8Net points8
20Algae points26
98Total teleop91
Reef
8L4#8
10L3#6
7L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
139Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.3
49.750.0
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
red by 3.8
3175
#21
46.60.2
44.544.3
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
Second
47.00.3
46.346.6
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End10.2
red by 1.1
51
#22
46.00.2
43.943.7
Auto7.8
Teleop28.4
End9.7
Third
6078
#20
30.30.3
29.529.8
Auto2.2
Teleop23.3
End4.8
blue by 5.1
6517
#10
35.40.2
33.233.1
Auto7.2
Teleop20.8
End7.3