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Red115
335730.5
353856.6
150652.5
Blue148
22657.4
103833.0
721154.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153156050100200250300350115148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+39
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +34
14Coral scored#24
49Coral points85
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
75Total teleop109
Reef
4L4#9
7L3#9
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points0
115Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#25
56.60.7
57.356.6
Auto14.1
Teleop39.3
End3.2
blue by 0.8
226
#15
57.40.1
57.357.4
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
Second
1506
#13
52.50.7
53.352.5
Auto15.7
Teleop28.2
End8.7
blue by 1.4
7211
#17
54.00.1
53.954.0
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End10.3
Third
3357
#18
30.50.7
31.230.5
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End1.8
blue by 2.5
33.00.1
32.933.0
Auto4.5
Teleop27.2
End1.2