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Red164
438141.3
20143.9
107655.3
Blue174
5146.0
651735.4
317546.6
77%Model gave it23%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15413680100120160180200164174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+22
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points7
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
20Coral scored#21
72Coral points74
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
12Processor points24
20Net points24
32Algae points48
104Total teleop122
Reef
16L4#6
5L3#6
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +10
12Foul points0
164Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#12
55.30.3
55.055.3
Auto14.2
Teleop39.0
End2.2
red by 8.7
3175
#21
46.61.2
44.345.5
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
Second
201
#11
43.90.3
43.643.9
Auto11.7
Teleop27.0
End5.3
blue by 2.1
51
#22
46.01.2
43.744.8
Auto7.8
Teleop28.4
End9.7
Third
4381
#14
41.30.3
41.041.3
Auto8.6
Teleop25.3
End7.4
red by 6.0
6517
#10
35.41.2
33.134.2
Auto7.2
Teleop20.8
End7.3