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Red260
546084.9
3380.0
432729.3
Blue181
365659.0
719742.8
477657.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20415850100250300260181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+49Teleop
+69Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points31
51Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +38
33Coral scored#25
117Coral points91
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
24Processor points12
20Net points20
44Algae points32
161Total teleop123
Reef
14L4#10
8L3#10
10L2#6
10L1 · trough#5
51Game pieces#38
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +79
12Foul points2
260Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.91.0
83.784.7
Auto22.0
Teleop54.0
End9.0
red by 25.9
59.00.2
57.557.7
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Second
33
#2
80.01.0
78.879.8
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
red by 22.5
57.50.2
56.056.2
Auto11.6
Teleop35.4
End10.4
Third
4327
#26
29.31.0
28.129.1
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
blue by 13.5
7197
#19
42.80.2
41.341.5
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End1.3