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Red63
332243.6
515022.8
883211.7
Blue57
1065624.5
570827.1
506728.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8182506070901001101206357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
6Coral scored#9
23Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
33Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points6
63Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#15
43.61.1
40.539.4
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End7.8
red by 15.2
5067
#28
28.52.4
25.623.3
Auto3.7
Teleop23.0
End1.7
Second
5150
#29
22.81.1
20.119.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End1.6
blue by 4.4
5708
#33
27.11.4
27.225.7
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End3.1
Third
8832
#34
11.71.9
14.112.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
blue by 12.8
24.51.4
13.612.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed