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Red99
439521.7
377318.5
89437.7
Blue167
506638.5
566049.3
511441.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56129010015099167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+70
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +53
16Coral scored#27
58Coral points97
0Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
0Processor points18
16Net points12
16Algae points30
74Total teleop127
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#10
4L2#9
4L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
99Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#7
37.72.0
28.930.8
Auto8.4
Teleop22.0
End7.3
blue by 11.7
5660
#13
49.33.1
41.144.2
Auto6.9
Teleop35.9
End6.6
Second
4395
#24
21.72.0
17.719.7
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End4.2
blue by 20.1
5114
#16
41.83.1
38.441.4
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End5.4
Third
3773
#27
18.52.0
11.013.0
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
blue by 20.0
38.53.1
31.234.2
Auto10.3
Teleop26.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned