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Red94
570827.1
332243.6
837331.1
Blue161
584344.6
619016.8
546069.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9612540608014016018094161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+67
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave3
2Coral scored#7
12Coral points34
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +42
11Coral scored#22
38Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
66Total teleop108
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#10
1L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
94Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#15
43.60.7
39.438.7
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End7.8
blue by 25.4
69.12.4
61.163.5
Auto21.3
Teleop41.6
End6.2
Second
8373
#18
31.10.7
30.529.8
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.7
blue by 13.5
44.62.4
40.242.6
Auto9.5
Teleop28.1
End6.9
Third
5708
#33
27.10.7
25.725.0
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End3.1
red by 10.3
6190
#30
16.84.0
15.919.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned